BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 13 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =   97.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2021 Home    W   114.88  45   0   1A 106 (  2- 10) South Florida          18.59     26.41                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    79.61  10  24   1A  36 (  7-  5) Mississippi St        -16.67      2.67                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W   105.92  45   7   1B  42 (  6-  5) Furman                  9.64     28.36                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W *  99.60  27  21   1A  16 (  9-  3) Clemson                 3.32      2.68                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    W    77.90  34  27   1A 102 (  3-  9) Louisiana Tech        -18.38     25.38                      
  6 10/16/2021 Away    W * 110.31  33   7   1A  73 (  6-  6) Boston College         14.03     11.97                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L *  91.88  30  31   1A  52 (  7-  5) Miami FL               -4.40      3.40                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W * 102.20  28  13   1A  40 (  6-  6) Louisville              5.91      9.09                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    W * 102.37  28  14   1A  62 (  5-  7) Florida St              6.08      7.92                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    L *  95.47  42  45   1A   9 ( 10-  2) Wake Forest            -0.81     -2.19                      
 11 11/20/2021 Home    W * 103.95  41  17   1A  69 (  5-  7) Syracuse                7.66     16.34                      
 12 11/26/2021 Home    W *  90.30  34  30   1A  48 (  6-  6) North Carolina         -5.98      9.98                      
      Averages              97.87  33.1 19.7

Best game:  114.88 = 45 point win over South Florida
Worst game:  77.90 = 7 point win over Louisiana Tech
Team stdev:  11.36